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Minesoooootan Republicans are mellow this time around
Topic Started: Feb 8 2012, 09:27 AM (259 Views)
Axtremus
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HOLY CARP!!!
Brenda,

Any hypothesis on why the turn out in Minesooooota's GOP Presidential caucus is so low this time around?

Is that because the whether is too hot?

Any hypothesis why Santorum beat Romney by 18 percentage points in the Minesooooota caucus?
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Kincaid
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HOLY CARP!!!
Minnesooootans like their crazies.
Kincaid - disgusted Republican Partisan since 2006.
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jon-nyc
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Low turnout has been a much-discussed problem for the GOP this whole primary season.
In my defense, I was left unsupervised.
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brenda
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..............
Axtremus
Feb 8 2012, 09:27 AM
Brenda,

Any hypothesis on why the turn out in Minesooooota's GOP Presidential caucus is so low this time around?

Is that because the whether is too hot?

Any hypothesis why Santorum beat Romney by 18 percentage points in the Minesooooota caucus?
Not sure why turnout was not higher. It was higher than I've seen in other years, but still not as high as I expected. I think it could be because many people are still undecided. With four candidates still, things are pretty fluid. People are still listening and deciding. As it winnows down to just three and then two, people will have an easier time deciding.

This same decision-making phenomenon is found in marketing and selling all the time. When faced with too many choices, consumers will sometimes opt not to purchase, at least for a while, until they are more certain of their selection. With fewer choices, consumers are more apt to make a decision right away.

The weather here is hardly 'too hot', Ax. :lol2:

Santorum spent a great deal of time here recently, while Romney did not, and Santorum's numbers are bound to reflect that. In my area, Romney and Santorum were about even, with Romney slightly ahead at my local caucus.
“Weeds are flowers, too, once you get to know them.”
~A.A. Milne
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brenda
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Kincaid
Feb 8 2012, 09:43 AM
Minnesooootans like their crazies.
Not in my region. We are more mainstream here. Every state has regional pockets of extremes, both right and left. The candidates from those regions do not represent the entire state, unless there is a total fluke thing like Jesse Ventura. His campaign relied on 18-24 year olds voting him into office. There are parallels there to more recent elections, but I'll leave those dots for others to connect.
“Weeds are flowers, too, once you get to know them.”
~A.A. Milne
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brenda
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More input on the GOP caucuses:

The media today reports many Minnesooota GOP caucus sites had their highest turnouts ever, with very enthusiastic participation. Not sure why some are saying it was low, when the media here says otherwise. Meanwhile, the Democrats had not only low turnouts, which is to be expected since they are not selecting a presidential candidate, but they had even lower turnouts than they anticipated. Not sure if that means anything or not.

It also seems some of Santorum's success here had to do with voters getting weary of the negativity between Gingrich and Romney. People are tired of that and appreciate Santorum's positive approach, enough to select him in the straw poll.
“Weeds are flowers, too, once you get to know them.”
~A.A. Milne
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Kincaid
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brenda
Feb 8 2012, 11:48 AM
Kincaid
Feb 8 2012, 09:43 AM
Minnesooootans like their crazies.
Not in my region. We are more mainstream here. Every state has regional pockets of extremes, both right and left.
Could be like Oregon, where one County wags the entire State.

But then again, we never elected Rowdy Roddy Piper, our local favorite son, either.

:angel:
Kincaid - disgusted Republican Partisan since 2006.
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jon-nyc
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Wow. Turnout was down 22%. Thats serious.

http://www.politicalhotwire.com/current-news-events/65032-2012-minnesota-gop-caucuses-preliminary-totals-vs-2008-a.html
In my defense, I was left unsupervised.
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brenda
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jon-nyc
Feb 10 2012, 02:56 AM
Looks like it was quite variable across the state, as some locations saw increased attendance, too. I guess I should be glad we had a decent turnout then.

What I noticed at our location was that there were very few Paul supporters. Last time he ran, we had a huge number attend, but only three this time. Not sure why that was the case at our location, when his numbers were good elsewhere.
“Weeds are flowers, too, once you get to know them.”
~A.A. Milne
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brenda
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..............

Results Statewide http://caucusresults.sos.state.mn.us/ElecRsltsStateWide.asp?M=SW
PRESIDENT
Republican
Candidate Totals Pct
NEWT GINGRICH 5276 10.79
RON PAUL 13258 27.12
MITT ROMNEY 8231 16.83
RICK SANTORUM 21985 44.97
WRITE-IN 143 00.29
PRESIDENT
Democratic-Farmer-Labor
Candidate Totals Pct
BARACK OBAMA 3044 97.38
UNCOMMITTED 82 02.62

I expected to see low turnout for the Dems, but this is even lower than expected. And what's with the uncommitted number? What are they waiting for?
“Weeds are flowers, too, once you get to know them.”
~A.A. Milne
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Axtremus
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brenda
Feb 10 2012, 09:20 AM
And what's with the uncommitted number? What are they waiting for?
Hillary.
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Axtremus
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HOLY CARP!!!
Maine's turn-out was only 6000.

Article: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/02/11/maine-caucus-results-2012_n_1270519.html

May be it was too hot in Maine too. :shrug:
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