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What are the odds?; Ok, statisticians, this is for you
Topic Started: Feb 26 2009, 05:38 AM (270 Views)
Luke's Dad
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Emperor Pengin
There's a competititon for the upcoming Men's College Basketball Tourney, with a grand prize of $100,000,000 for a perfect bracket. How many brackets are possible?

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The problem with having an open mind is that people keep trying to put things in it.
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The 89th Key
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Doesn't seem like the most scientific analysis, but here are some numbers:

http://vegaswatch.net/2008/03/what-are-odds-perfect-bracket.html

Basically one in a kajillion.
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Horace
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HOLY CARP!!!
(chance of correct prediction for a single game) ^ 63.

As long as the chance of a single game prediction is less than 100% then the odds of a perfect bracket are near zero.
As a good person, I implore you to do as I, a good person, do. Be good. Do NOT be bad. If you see bad, end bad. End it in yourself, and end it in others. By any means necessary, the good must conquer the bad. Good people know this. Do you know this? Are you good?
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Improviso
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HOLY CARP!!!
The 89th Key
Feb 26 2009, 06:24 AM
Basically one in a kajillion.
Is that larger or smaller than a jigawatt? :D
Identifying narcissists isn't difficult. Just look for the person who is constantly fishing for compliments
and admiration while breaking down over even the slightest bit of criticism.

We have the freedom to choose our actions, but we do not get to choose our consequences.
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Free Rider
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Fulla-Carp
Improviso
Feb 26 2009, 08:53 AM
The 89th Key
Feb 26 2009, 06:24 AM
Basically one in a kajillion.
Is that larger or smaller than a jigawatt? :D
Improv, there is actually no measurement unit called a Jigawatt. I think you must be refering the a Gigawatt.





































:silly: :lol2:
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Improviso
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HOLY CARP!!!
jigawatt: Unit of power used by a Flux-capicitor.

Quote:
 
"1.21 Jigawatts ! The only thing that can produce that kind of energy is.. A bolt of lightning."



Understand that 89th is a big *back to the future* fan.
Identifying narcissists isn't difficult. Just look for the person who is constantly fishing for compliments
and admiration while breaking down over even the slightest bit of criticism.

We have the freedom to choose our actions, but we do not get to choose our consequences.
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The 89th Key
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:yes:
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JBryan
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I am the grey one
"Jigawatt" is a mis-pronunciation.

The odds of filling in this elimination chart correctly are not as goood as getting struck by lightning on a sunny day. But there would be many watts involved if it happened. Actually not as many as you might think even if it killed you.
"Any man who would make an X rated movie should be forced to take his daughter to see it". - John Wayne


There is a line we cross when we go from "I will believe it when I see it" to "I will see it when I believe it".


Henry II: I marvel at you after all these years. Still like a democratic drawbridge: going down for everybody.

Eleanor: At my age there's not much traffic anymore.

From The Lion in Winter.
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