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| Is California predominantly Democrat? | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: May 13 2006, 11:26 AM (159 Views) | |
| iainhp | May 13 2006, 11:26 AM Post #1 |
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Middle Aged Carp
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According to an article in today's paper, the following numbers: Current Democrat's share of the state's 15.6 million registered voters = 42.7% This is 2.5% lower than 4 years ago, and 4.1% lower than 8 years ago. 3 decades ago registered Democrats were 57% of registered voters. There are 200,000 fewer registered Democrats today than in 1994, while the number of potential voters has risen by almost 4 million since 1994, and the number of registered voters is up by 1.5 million since 1994. Meanwhile the GOP share of the registered voting poulation today is 35%, approximately where it was 30 years ago. Independents now consist of 18.3%, up from 10.3% in 1994. I am registered as Independent. Could it be that there are many like me that are tired of career politicians and are looking for another Ross Perot. That's why I voted for Arnold, and now he's chickened out. So yes, California is still predominantly Democrat......."but the times they are a'changin". |
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| Rick Zimmer | May 13 2006, 01:45 PM Post #2 |
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Fulla-Carp
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Much truth to this. I would agree that Californians are becoming less partisan and more independent in their political affiliation. I would argue that by and large Californians are social liberals and fiscal pragmatists, if not conservatives. The GOP's penchant for satisfying the moral scruples of the Bible Belt does not play well here, nor does the GOP's pandering to the whims of corporations and investors to the denigration of the environment, general social needs and the general public. While there is also wariness of the extreme left in the Democratic Party, the rejection of the social conservative extremism of the GOP is greater. The projections I have seen is that independents will outnumber either party within about 10 years and soon thereafter they may outnumber all of the parties put together. I am not so sure about this. The Hispanics in CA moved heavily towards the Democratic Party after the GOP immigrant bashing in the 1990's and it has not changed. I expect we will see an even stronger affinity between Hispanics and the Democrats after this current round of immigrant bashing on the GOP national level. Since the Hispanics are the largest growing portion of the electorate, I expect to see the Democratic numbers stay strong, if not increase vis-a-vis the GOP and the independents -- and likely by this Fall. This would not have naturally coime, but since voter registration among Hispanics invigorated by the current immigration debate is going strong and is expected to increase in the next few months with having a major impact across the nation in the November election being paramount to many Hispanic leaders. By definition, this will have an impact on California party registration. |
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